Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+87.0pp
24h Vol
$80.57
Liquidity
$226.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.3h
- 19:52SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 19:51PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 87.0pp
to 100¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 83.0pp
to 96¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 84.5pp
to 97¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 54¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 18¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- BUYHAMISH STEWART4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYUP4m ago
- SELLOVER4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- SELLNO4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
- BUYDOWN4m ago
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/home
- UMA status
- proposed
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).