Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
Probability
8¢
1h
-42.5pp
24h
-42.5pp
24h Vol
$725.00
Liquidity
$366.48
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 43pp over 24h
Now 8¢; -42.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 15.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:20ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.4h
- 12:56SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming match between Weibo Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 30 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).