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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+12.5pp

24h Vol

$17.84

Liquidity

$2.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 24, 2026, 19:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 171.2h

    LOW
  • 19:50Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for April 24 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Boston Red Sox or Baltimore Orioles. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/scores
UMA status
n/a
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).