Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Probability
60¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$218.59
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 60¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 194h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 194.3h
- 15:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 194h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 60¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 54¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 56¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 56¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 60¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 52¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 53¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 54¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 53¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 57¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 26 at 1:37 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Cleveland Guardians or Toronto Blue Jays. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlb.com/scoresNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.