GeopoliticsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 7.5

Probability

21¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$523.23

Liquidity

$4.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-30.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 21¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 0h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.3h

    HIGH
  • 18:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 22¢.

Biggest hourly move: -31.0pp at 1d ago (to 21¢).

Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:39 · -24.0pp → 22¢
  • 17:00 · -25.0pp → 21¢
  • 15:00 · -25.0pp → 21¢
  • 14:00 · -22.5pp → 22¢
  • 12:00 · -22.0pp → 22¢
  • 11:00 · -23.0pp → 23¢
  • 09:00 · -26.0pp → 22¢
  • 08:00 · -24.5pp → 22¢
  • 06:00 · -22.5pp → 22¢
  • 05:00 · -22.5pp → 22¢
  • 03:00 · -25.5pp → 23¢
  • 02:00 · -21.5pp → 23¢
  • 00:00 · -21.5pp → 22¢
  • 23:00 · -22.5pp → 22¢
  • 21:00 · -23.5pp → 21¢
  • 20:00 · -22.0pp → 22¢
  • 1d ago · -30.5pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -25.5pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -25.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -23.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -22.5pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -30.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -31.0pp → 21¢
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -30.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -22.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -22.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 47¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 25 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Hurricanes and Senators combine to score 8 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
natoOfficial government source
nhl.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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