Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-04-29?
Probability
71¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+26.0pp
24h Vol
$48.20
Liquidity
$418.03
Probability (last 7 days)
+23.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 26pp over 24h
Now 71¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 26.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 103.9h
- 15:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 71¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 71¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 71¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 71¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 71¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 72¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 71¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.5pp
to 81¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 47¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 43¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 47¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If Washington Spirit wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.nwslsoccer.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).