Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026?

1. 1

   Down 2pp over 24h

   Now 26¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 46.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.