CD Moquegua vs. FC Cajamarca: O/U 3.5
Probability
27¢
1h
+5.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$2.40
Liquidity
$54.00
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 27¢; +5.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:25SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 18:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 0h ago
Price movement
+6.5pp over the last 24h, now 30¢.
Biggest hourly move: -19.0pp at 2d ago (to 21¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:00 · -8.5pp → 13¢
- 12:00 · -3.5pp → 19¢
- 11:00 · -5.0pp → 19¢
- 09:00 · -7.0pp → 19¢
- 08:00 · -6.5pp → 19¢
- 06:00 · -7.0pp → 20¢
- 05:00 · -7.0pp → 20¢
- 03:00 · -6.0pp → 20¢
- 02:00 · -6.5pp → 20¢
- 00:00 · -5.0pp → 21¢
- 22:00 · +4.0pp → 31¢
- 20:00 · -11.5pp → 21¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -9.5pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 25¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 25¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -19.0pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -18.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Other · Vol $0.00
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Market Description
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between CD Moquegua and FC Cajamarca, scheduled for April 25 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CD Moquegua and FC Cajamarca combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on liga1.pe. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsliga1.pe
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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