OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5)

Probability

10¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-5.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$267.47

Probability (last 7 days)

-26.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 10¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 22h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 21.6h

    HIGH
  • 18:26Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-4.5pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.

Biggest hourly move: -27.0pp at 2d ago (to 16¢).

Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:26 · -4.5pp → 10¢
  • 17:00 · -4.5pp → 10¢
  • 15:00 · -3.5pp → 11¢
  • 14:00 · -4.0pp → 12¢
  • 12:00 · -18.0pp → 12¢
  • 11:00 · -19.5pp → 12¢
  • 09:00 · -18.5pp → 14¢
  • 08:00 · -18.0pp → 14¢
  • 06:00 · -20.0pp → 14¢
  • 05:00 · -20.0pp → 14¢
  • 03:00 · -17.5pp → 14¢
  • 02:00 · -17.5pp → 14¢
  • 00:00 · -17.5pp → 14¢
  • 23:00 · -13.5pp → 18¢
  • 21:00 · +9.5pp → 42¢
  • 20:00 · -20.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -26.5pp → 15¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 15¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 15¢
  • 1d ago · -16.5pp → 16¢
  • 1d ago · -18.5pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -17.0pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · -20.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -21.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -21.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -21.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -27.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · -18.0pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · -17.0pp → 19¢
  • 2d ago · -21.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -21.5pp → 14¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for April 26 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CS Cienciano" if CS Cienciano win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CU Técnica de Cajamarca". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on liga1.pe. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
liga1.pe
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.