Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of April?
Probability
19¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-11.5pp
24h Vol
$55.79
Liquidity
$600.34
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 131.4h
- 08:38SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 131h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.5pp
to 20¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.0pp
to 23¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.5pp
to 21¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 23¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 17¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 28¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 27¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 22¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 24¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 31¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).