Spread: FK Sochi (-1.5)

1. 1

   Down 8pp over 24h

   Now 4¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 5.4¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

4. 4

   Expiry in 22h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the upcoming Russian Premier League game, scheduled for April 26 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Sochi" if FK Sochi win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Dinamo Moskva". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierliga.ru. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.