Will the match end in a draw?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-7.6pp
24h Vol
$119.58
Liquidity
$124.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 8pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 161h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 160.9h
- 22:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 161h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-3.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: +42.5pp at 15:00 (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
- 22:00 · -7.4pp → 0¢
- 21:00 · -7.4pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · -7.4pp → 0¢
- 19:00 · -7.4pp → 0¢
- 17:00 · +19.6pp → 27¢
- 15:00 · +42.5pp → 50¢
- 14:00 · -4.5pp → 3¢
- 11:00 · -4.5pp → 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.