Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?
Probability
2¢
1h
-3.1pp
24h
-6.3pp
24h Vol
$76.83
Liquidity
$60.62
Probability (last 7 days)
-48.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -3.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $61 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 7¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.8h
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.7pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 10¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.3pp
to 2¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.5pp
to 3¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.9pp
to 8¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 39¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 8¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 20¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 8¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 9¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 20¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If ASM Clermont Auvergne wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.