Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
1¢
1h
-6.0pp
24h
-12.0pp
24h Vol
$6.8K
Liquidity
$16.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-13.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 1¢; -6.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $16.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:22SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
-11.9pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 17:00 (to 4¢).
Show all 5 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -10.0pp → 4¢
- 15:00 · -4.5pp → 9¢
- 14:00 · -4.0pp → 10¢
- 12:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 11:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Falkirk FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsspfl.co.uk
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.