Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 215h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 215.1h
- 19:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 215h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -33.5pp at 2d ago (to 12¢).
Show all 5 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · -4.5pp → 12¢
- 08:00 · -4.5pp → 12¢
- 06:00 · -5.0pp → 11¢
- 21:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -33.5pp → 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 4 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Roma" if AS Roma win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticslegaseriea.it
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.