Solana Up or Down on April 25?

1. 1

   Down 43pp over 24h

   Now 0¢; -78.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Momentum signal firing

   Probability moved down 43.5pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

4. 4

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

5. 5

   UMA status: proposed

   An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Apr 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Apr 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.