Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$427.99
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-9.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1603.0h
- 00:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1603h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 30¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 27¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 27¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 30¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 32¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 32¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 32¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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