Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-4.5pp
24h Vol
$10.00
Liquidity
$4.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1603.0h
- 00:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1603h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 36¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 36¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 36¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 38¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 39¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 39¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 37¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 39¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 41¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 41¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 41¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 40¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 40¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 40¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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