0x1da1d95dedad20a66f8d1c38c7123b01bd135d8c
0x1da1d95dedad20a66f8d1c38c7123b01bd135d8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$64.59
Total PnL
$-29.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$15.15
$10.15
- NO
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.74
$5.74
- NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$8.93
$3.93
- NO
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.93
$4.02
- NO
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
8 shares @ 63.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.71
$2.78
- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.19
$2.19
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.94
$0.94
- NO
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
195 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?
68 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$5.00Apr 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$5.00Apr 23, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$5.00Apr 23, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$5.00Apr 23, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,226,000 and $1,244,000 on April 30?$5.00Apr 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $439,000 on April 30?$5.00Apr 23, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?$5.00Apr 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$5.00Apr 23, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$5.00Apr 23, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$5.00Apr 23, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North West release an album by December 31?$5.00Apr 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?$5.00Apr 16, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?$5.00Apr 16, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.00Apr 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$5.00Apr 16, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$5.00Apr 16, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$5.00Apr 16, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?$5.00Apr 16, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$5.00Apr 16, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.