SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Ibrahim Mbaye: Anytime Goalscorer

Probability

10¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-7.2pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$189.32

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 10¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 17.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 72h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 72 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 71.5h

    HIGH
  • 19:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-5.3pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ibrahim Mbaye is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
uefa.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (17.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

4 wallets