Ibrahim Mbaye: Anytime Goalscorer
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-7.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$189.32
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 10¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 17.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 72h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 72 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 71.5h
- 19:27SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-5.3pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Paris Saint-Germain FC and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ibrahim Mbaye is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsuefa.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (17.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.