O/U 0.5 Rounds
Probability
69¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+12.0pp
24h Vol
$160.00
Liquidity
$992.13
Probability (last 7 days)
+19.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 69¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 36.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 16h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 15.6h
- 12:24SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 69¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 69¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 69¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 70¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 70¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 69¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 69¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 70¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 69¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 70¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 73¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 57¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 57¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 57¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 58¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Eric McConico and Rodolfo Vieira at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Eric McConico and Rodolfo Vieira at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (36.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).