Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)
Probability
40¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
-10.5pp
24h Vol
$68.2K
Liquidity
$58.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 40¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 10.5pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 8h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.6h
- 13:26SignalHIGH
Signal · Momentum down
Probability moved down 10.5pp in 24h with 1.2× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 13:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:26PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 40¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 41¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 41¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 42¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 42¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 48¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 51¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 51¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins 2 or more games than Fnatic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Fnatic". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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