O/U 0.5 Rounds
Probability
96¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+26.8pp
24h Vol
$33.49
Liquidity
$3.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+44.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 27pp over 24h
Now 96¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $3.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 13h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 12.8h
- 15:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 96¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 96¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.3pp
to 96¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.8pp
to 96¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 96¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.8pp
to 96¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 80¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 80¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 80¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 80¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 80¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 80¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 70¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).