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SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Probability

96¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+26.8pp

24h Vol

$33.49

Liquidity

$3.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+44.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:10
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 27pp over 24h

    Now 96¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 13h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 03:59Resolve

    Market resolves in 12.8h

    HIGH
  • 15:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 26.3pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 26.3pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 25.3pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 25.8pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 26.3pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 25.8pp

    to 96¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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