O/U 2.5 Rounds
Probability
73¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$8.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $8.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 14h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 14 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.7h
- 14:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 73¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Julia Polastri and Talita Alencar at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ufc.com/events
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.