OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: FK Rukh Lviv (-1.5)

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-5.1pp

24h Vol

$320.57

Liquidity

$5.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-37.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:28Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-5.1pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: +37.5pp at 15:00 (to 50¢).

Show all 57 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:28 · -16.1pp → 0¢
  • 17:00 · -12.0pp → 1¢
  • 16:00 · +37.5pp → 50¢
  • 15:00 · +37.5pp → 50¢
  • 06:00 · +16.5pp → 30¢
  • 05:00 · +16.0pp → 29¢
  • 03:00 · -6.5pp → 7¢
  • 02:00 · -6.5pp → 6¢
  • 00:00 · -6.5pp → 6¢
  • 22:00 · -7.5pp → 5¢
  • 20:00 · -7.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -7.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -7.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -34.5pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -24.5pp → 14¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -34.0pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -34.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.0pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.0pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.0pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -25.0pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -27.5pp → 11¢
  • 4d ago · -27.5pp → 11¢
  • 4d ago · -27.0pp → 11¢
  • 4d ago · -26.5pp → 12¢
  • 4d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -25.5pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -26.5pp → 12¢
  • 4d ago · -26.5pp → 12¢
  • 4d ago · -26.5pp → 12¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Rukh Lviv" if FK Rukh Lviv win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FK Karpaty Lviv". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on upl.ua. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
upl.ua
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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