SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 9, 2026

Will 9z Team win LRS 2026 Split 1?

Probability

33¢

1h

-0.6pp

24h

+28.9pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$19.08

Probability (last 7 days)

+28.3pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:09
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 29pp over 24h

    Now 33¢; -0.6pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 316h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 63.2¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 315.8h

    LOW
  • 20:09Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 316h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+29.4pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.

Biggest hourly move: -39.0pp at 1d ago (to 6¢).

Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · +5.8pp → 33¢
  • 19:00 · +5.8pp → 33¢
  • 17:00 · +5.9pp → 35¢
  • 15:00 · +6.2pp → 36¢
  • 14:00 · +5.8pp → 37¢
  • 12:00 · +5.8pp → 38¢
  • 11:00 · +5.7pp → 39¢
  • 09:00 · +5.8pp → 40¢
  • 08:00 · +6.0pp → 41¢
  • 06:00 · +6.0pp → 42¢
  • 05:00 · +5.8pp → 43¢
  • 03:00 · +8.4pp → 46¢
  • 02:00 · -37.8pp → 1¢
  • 00:00 · -38.8pp → 1¢
  • 23:00 · -38.8pp → 2¢
  • 21:00 · -38.6pp → 3¢
  • 1d ago · -38.8pp → 4¢
  • 1d ago · -38.6pp → 5¢
  • 1d ago · -39.0pp → 6¢
  • 1d ago · -38.8pp → 7¢
  • 1d ago · +6.8pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · +6.8pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · +6.6pp → 9¢
  • 1d ago · +6.2pp → 10¢
  • 2d ago · +6.3pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +5.7pp → 12¢
  • 2d ago · +5.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -3.3pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -4.1pp → 17¢
  • 2d ago · -6.7pp → 18¢
  • 2d ago · -17.6pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -23.5pp → 21¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Liga Regional Sur (LRS) 2026 Split 1. If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after May 16, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (63.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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