Big-Hearted-Patrol
0xbc0d572d1abb04e9fe39781fbd9db5728922d3a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-279.95
Realised
$30.17
Win rate
46%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
506 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$489.42
$29.92
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
100 shares @ 84.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.55
$11.45
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
55 shares @ 90.9¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.45
$2.45
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
53 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.72
$1.72
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
30 shares @ 33.1¢·now 77.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.32
$13.39
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.75
$-40.25
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
23 shares @ 82.9¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.74
$-0.33
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
39 shares @ 24.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.93
$8.13
- NO
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
28 shares @ 26.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.07
$4.69
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
18 shares @ 54.1¢·now 65.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.81
$2.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$9.50Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?$9.67Jul 29, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$5.44Jul 29, 03:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- MERGEFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$0.75Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?$1.59Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$9.59Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$9.96Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$10.00Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$12.00Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$13.97Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$33.84Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- MERGEWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$80.00Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$4.95Jul 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$18.95Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$0.34Jul 28, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$9.10Jul 28, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.77Jul 28, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$4.94Jul 28, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$1.50Jul 28, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.