Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$470.88
Liquidity
$9.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-21.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 572.7h
- 03:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 573h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.2pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.2pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.1pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.3pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.1pp
to 1¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 1¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 1¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 1¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 1¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.0pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.9pp
to 2¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.9pp
to 2¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.9pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.9pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.9pp
to 2¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.9pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $77.82
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 17¢+0.5pp
Will Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $297.04
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $77.82
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Pierre Whatley be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $77.82
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate G be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.9M
- 2¢-1.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $640.2K
- 43¢-5.4pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $555.9K
- 21¢+5.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Politics · Vol $450.8K
- 5¢-0.9pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $404.3K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $396.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-13 congressional district seat in the UAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).