Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?
Probability
18¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 18¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5977h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5976.7h
- 23:17SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5977h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 1d ago (to 14¢).
Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
- 18:00 · -4.5pp → 17¢
- 03:00 · -5.0pp → 16¢
- 02:00 · -4.5pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 16¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.