Will Google say "Find the Look" or "Virtual Try-On" during earnings call?
Probability
46¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
+7.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$59.15
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 46¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 69h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 25.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 69h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 69 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 69.4h
- 02:34SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 69h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Biggest hourly move: +28.0pp at 2d ago (to 44¢).
Show top 8 of 53 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +27.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +27.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +27.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +27.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · +27.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +27.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +27.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +28.0pp → 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Google (Alphabet) currently scheduled to take place on April 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarythe next earnings announcement of Google (Alphabet) currently scheduled to take place on April 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ETTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (25.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.