Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$66.45
Liquidity
$11.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 214.8h
- 01:14SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 215h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 13¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 10¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 10¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 10¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.0pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).