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OtherExpires Sep 1, 2026

Will Lorient qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?

Probability

49¢

1h

+0.3pp

24h

+28.2pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$6.65

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 28pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3083h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 95.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3083.4h

    LOW
  • 12:37Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3083h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -28.1pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -27.3pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -26.3pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -24.8pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -23.9pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -23.1pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -22.6pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -22.7pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.7pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.1pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.8pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -24.2pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.9pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.4pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Europa League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Europa League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (95.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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