Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Deiveson Figueiredo next?
Probability
34¢
1h
+2.9pp
24h
-5.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$90.66
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 34¢; +2.9pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 65.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.8h
- 13:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 32¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 32¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 38¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 35¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 37¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.8pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.4pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.3pp
to 40¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 59¢-13.5pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 35¢+11.2pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 6¢+5.5pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Aiemann Zahabi next?
Other · Vol $14.91
- 39¢+15.3pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.3pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Alexandre Pantoja next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Fighter A next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Fighter C next?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-2.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $721.0K
- 5¢-34.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $681.6K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $559.8K
- 43¢+7.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $496.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (65.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).