Will Nice qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+26.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 27pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 97.2¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3082.2h
- 13:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 23¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.4pp
to 23¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.8pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.9pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Europa League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Europa League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (97.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).