Exhausted-Patina-Disability
0x1206cec7aa15c192381f32f70292a1ef1e231362
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$139.26
Realised
$132.67
Win rate
51%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
2257 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.3K
$190.34
- NO
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
3623 shares @ 54.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-101.53
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
886 shares @ 55.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$607.01
$111.34
- NO
Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
566 shares @ 80.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$554.96
$102.16
- NO
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
651 shares @ 66.7¢·now 74.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$481.74
$47.69
- YES
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
354 shares @ 63.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$302.74
$79.22
- NO
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
352 shares @ 80.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$297.45
$15.19
- NO
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
274 shares @ 86.2¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$263.42
$27.12
- YES
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
267 shares @ 69.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$207.26
$20.74
- YES
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
298 shares @ 35.5¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$202.74
$96.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.02Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$42.92Jun 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$9.23Jun 12, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.01Jun 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.01Jun 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.01Jun 11, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?$84.00Jun 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$55.00Jun 10, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$41.80Jun 10, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Agarwal advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$28.00Jun 10, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$13.97Jun 10, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$5.00Jun 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?$3.13Jun 10, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$77.20Jun 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.72Jun 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$27.74Jun 10, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jun 10, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mullins McLeod win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$37.09Jun 10, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $13.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.