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MacroMulti-outcomeExpires Jan 20, 2027

Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?

Probability

34¢

1h

-1.1pp

24h

+24.6pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+22.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 00:00Apr 24, 2026, 21:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6482.3h

    LOW
  • 21:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6482h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 23.1pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 24.1pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 20, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to theAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (65.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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