Will Supernova win NACL 2026 Spring?
Probability
15¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$253.17
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 971h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 27.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 970.9h
- 13:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 971h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.7pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.4pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.3pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the North American Challengers League (NACL) 2026 Spring season. If the 2026 Spring season is postponed after June 12, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (27.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).