Will "The Fragrant Flower Blooms with Dignity" win Best Slice of Life Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
45¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$28.58
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 45¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 652h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 90.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 652.3h
- 19:44SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 652h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.5pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Biggest hourly move: +22.5pp at 2d ago (to 45¢).
Show all 13 hour-by-hour ticks
- 14:00 · +3.0pp → 46¢
- 02:00 · +3.0pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +22.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +19.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +12.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +16.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the award for Best Slice of Life Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumcrunchyroll.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.