Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$95.47
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.4h
- 06:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).