Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$2.1K
Liquidity
$25.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
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Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4545.6h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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