Will Udinese qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Probability
5¢
1h
+4.7pp
24h
-26.3pp
24h Vol
$50.00
Liquidity
$170.78
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 26pp over 24h
Now 5¢; +4.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3079.9h
- 16:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:05PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 5¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 0¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 0¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 0¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 0¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.2pp
to 0¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 1¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.3pp
to 45¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.9pp
to 42¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 47¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.2pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.1pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.2pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.4pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.3pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.7pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.6pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.7pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.7pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.7pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.3pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.2pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).