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GeopoliticsExpires May 22, 2026

Will Weibo Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?

Probability

13¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$40.40

Liquidity

$278.08

Probability (last 7 days)

-36.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 633h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 633.3h

    LOW
  • 14:44Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 633h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -33.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -34.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -35.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -36.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -32.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

The Esports World Cup 2026 China Qualifier is scheduled to take place from March 27 to May 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for the EWC 2026 Main Event through the China Qualifier. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams advancing from the China Qualifier to the EWC 2026 Main Event, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official Esports World Cup Foundation rules. If the Esports World Cup 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of EWC 2026 participants is not published by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Esports_World_Cup/2026/China) may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 22, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

3 wallets