Respectful-Scarecrow
0x04945f4d3e27ad7c8844c5e1a0c8be4c461e2b2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$30.56
Total PnL
$-55.24
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.47
$2.57
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 15.4¢·now 35.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$1.71
- YES
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.95
$1.63
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
58 shares @ 2.1¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.72
$1.49
- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 6.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$1.30
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 13.5¢·now 26.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.48
$1.21
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
9 shares @ 14.3¢·now 22.7¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.04
$0.75
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-0.35
- NO
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.60
$-0.60
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$5.68May 31, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$5.98May 4, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$0.10May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple Labs IPO before 2027?$0.43May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.49May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?$0.31May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.01May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBillions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.48May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?$0.64May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?$0.81May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$0.63May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$0.79May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$1.02May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.04May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$0.83May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.72May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BP be acquired before 2027?$1.07May 1, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.14May 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?$1.17May 1, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$1.17May 1, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.