0x056812df6e07aa4bf2e591a448b4ed3e6de12cfa
0x056812df6e07aa4bf2e591a448b4ed3e6de12cfa
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$55.14
Total PnL
$-14.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
69 shares @ 7.2¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 48.9¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.62
$-1.38
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
46 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.45
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$5.002h ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$5.006h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump praise Allah again by April 30?$0.0010h ago
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$0.0010h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$6.071d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$5.042d ago
- TRADEBUYOPEC dissolves in 2026?$5.003d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$5.243d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$6.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$5.004d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$5.006d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$5.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.009d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$1.219d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$1.009d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6.3210d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$5.0010d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?$4.4711d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?$4.0012d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 48d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".