Inferior-Widow
0x0cad11457a4a513f0227fcac7fc8b049e41b5dd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-275.62
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
7675 shares @ 21.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.2K
$-449.47
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1348 shares @ 43.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$586.58
$4.42
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1100 shares @ 24.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.50
$-21.05
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
2100 shares @ 12.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.50
$-47.39
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
2398 shares @ 19.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.83
$-256.70
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3004 shares @ 10.7¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.28
$-128.89
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
600 shares @ 56.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.99
$-177.70
- YES
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
650 shares @ 23.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.55
$-57.54
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 21.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.97
$-33.15
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
500 shares @ 29.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.47
$-55.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$20.11Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.50Jun 11, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$8.80Jun 10, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.16Jun 10, 16:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$70.00Jun 8, 15:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.88Jun 4, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.40Jun 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.34Jun 4, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$4.04Jun 4, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$24.90Jun 4, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.07Jun 4, 04:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $17.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.