Whimsical-Toll
0x1206459b02e157cb47738b9d4a33640419cc1b39
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$144.00
Total PnL
$4.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 8, 2026$29.80
$-0.07
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
40 shares @ 57.9¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.00
$2.84
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.67
$0.43
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
20 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.21
$0.05
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
15 shares @ 85.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.66
$1.27
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
40 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.40
$1.60
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.48
$0.98
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.05
$-1.05
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.05
$0.10
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$29.892h ago
- REDEEMWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?$8.732d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Germany by April 30, 2026?$20.002d ago
- REDEEMWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?$10.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.034d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.554d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?$9.224d ago
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?$10.005d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$0.035d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?$10.005d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.005d ago
- REDEEMWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$20.005d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$40.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 1?$9.907d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$9.5811d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$9.5811d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns$9.9911d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
