Variable-Being
0x199644477462ef9208c4cd3003bf091c198c0525
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$48.15
Total PnL
$-86.11
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
55 shares @ 28.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.17
$4.17
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$2.25
- HABS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.58
$1.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
23 shares @ 12.8¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-1.03
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.6¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.06May 13, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$15.53May 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.04May 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.36May 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.04May 1, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.04May 1, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elephant" in May?$1.01May 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tiger" in May?$1.02May 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bird" in May?$1.02May 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cat" in May?$1.01May 1, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.04May 1, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.00May 1, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.75May 1, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?$1.92May 1, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".