0x1ab00789cb86835e726da556c8fc2c04ffc3f8c9
0x1ab00789cb86835e726da556c8fc2c04ffc3f8c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$318.96
Total PnL
$-109.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
447 shares @ 28.2¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$40.19
$-85.98
- YES
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
70 shares @ 26.7¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$28.50
$9.93
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
172 shares @ 26.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$28.32
$-16.68
- NO
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?
156 shares @ 12.8¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$24.90
$4.90
- YES
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
205 shares @ 7.4¢·now 7.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$15.99
$0.82
- NO
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
104 shares @ 7.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$15.07
$7.20
- NO
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
94 shares @ 10.7¢·now 16.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$14.98
$4.98
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
147 shares @ 6.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
70 shares @ 21.4¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$10.88
$-4.12
- YES
Will Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?
145 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$10.26
$-2.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$5.37Jul 11, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$3.01Jul 11, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$5.38Jul 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$3.23Jul 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$5.38Jul 11, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?$5.38Jul 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?$10.76Jul 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?$7.32Jul 10, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?$5.32Jul 10, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$5.37Jul 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$5.36Jul 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?$5.35Jul 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$3.56Jul 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?$10.72Jul 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?$6.44Jul 10, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$10.60Jul 10, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$5.35Jul 10, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$10.72Jul 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?$10.74Jul 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$5.39Jul 10, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.