Fearless-Walker
0x1c853edd4f57b9e8b52977e04f412407dcf231d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$130.41
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-3.4K
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
839 shares @ 26.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.07
$-88.12
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
36 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.34
$-2.52
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
39753 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-189.78
- YES
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
22400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-71.61
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
16785 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-152.98
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
9563 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-227.23
- HAPOEL TEL AVIV
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
4347 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
3500 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-260.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- BLAZERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
1452 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-219.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$1.1KJun 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$24.55Jun 12, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$108.74May 12, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$51.80May 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$31.08May 12, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$454.79May 12, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$25.00May 5, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$79.23May 5, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$923.08May 5, 09:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.44May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$1000.00Apr 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$200.00Apr 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.48Apr 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$65.89Apr 30, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$6.30Apr 30, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.99Apr 30, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.87Apr 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.10Apr 30, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Apr 30, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$252.00Apr 30, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $109.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.