Fearful-Intervenor
0x1e66ac0013ddabb39a86da4b941069ad8944fda0
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$37.87
Total PnL
$-391.93
Realised
$1.96
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?
11 shares @ 92.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$9.37
$-0.63
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.39
$0.39
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.24
$0.24
- NO
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
108 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-54.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
67 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?$5.282d ago
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$6.355d ago
- TRADESELLWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$2.4512d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dog" in April?$1.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MVP" in April?$2.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$3.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?$3.0013d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$6.0016d ago
- YIELD$0.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$5.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?$5.0018d ago
- YIELD$0.0020d ago
- YIELD$0.0021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$6.0025d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.0025d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.0025d ago
- REDEEMHornets vs. Suns$0.0025d ago
- REDEEMHornets vs. Suns$0.0025d ago
- REDEEMHornets vs. Suns$0.0025d ago
- REDEEMHornets vs. Suns$0.0025d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 54d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.